The chart for December WTI Crude Oil is shown below:
It takes 10 years to show where crude oil WAS and where its GOING. The march to 100 may be mostly due to supply destruction on the heels of years of financial and demand destruction in the energy sector.
Source: ARC Energy Research
Even if demand does not completely return to pre-Covid levels, the supply imbalance, the time it will take to restore production and clear markets, is likely to press prices back above $100.
My contract of choice is the NYMEX December 2021 WTI Crude Oil futures which is trading at $70.71 as I write.
Disclaimer: Posts are for education only, may be subject to change without notice, and, while prepared with care, may be subject to omissions and errors. Request to gdrahal@gmail.com to follow this blog and additional information..
© 2021 George Rahal.
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