TNA, like all the other leveraged broad-based ETFs, has been on fire for years. The 3X variety has been triple on fire. As with the other 3X funds, TNA is marketed as a short term vehicle with the goal of delivering, for a day, 3X the return of the Russell 2000 index of small cap stocks. Brokers caution individual investors with higher margin requirements for these kind of ETFs.
IWM, the largest Russell 2000 ETF began trading 5/26/2000. The TNA inception date is 11/19/2008. For fair comparisons our analyses begin with the TNA start date. Here are the results.
IWM and SPY look like straight lines compared to TNA.
Continuously compounded returns follow:
Annualized Returns | |||
as of 12/1/2017 | |||
TNA | IWM | SPY | |
1 month | 94.8% | 34.3% | 31.6% |
3 month | 99.0% | 35.1% | 27.9% |
6 month | 51.1% | 19.3% | 17.9% |
1 year | 43.3% | 17.0% | 20.6% |
3 year | 21.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
5 year | 32.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% |
Since TNA Inception | 26.1% | 14.4% | 13.7% |
*Since TNA Inception 11/19/2008 to 12/31/2008 **Year-to-date 12/1/2017
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Risk and Reward | |||
as of 12/1/2017 | |||
TNA | IWM | SPY | |
3 year mean | 21.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
3 year standard deviation | 42.2% | 13.8% | 9.6% |
5 year mean | 32.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% |
5 year standard deviation | 33.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
Conclusions
First consider IWM versus SPY. They are comparable in returns. Note SPY beat IWM 5 of the 10 periods. IWM's average return is a little higher but the risk is significantly higher.
Now look at TNA. It comes up short of 3X in the gain department, though still a significant gain all around. Returns ARE spectacular. But look at that risk! TNA's risk is more than 3X the IWM risk and 4X greater than SPY. Again, buckle your seat belt if you go for TNA's higher returns.
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Disclaimer: The above is not investment advice, is for information purposes only, may be subject to change without notice, and, while prepared with care, may be subject to omissions and errors.
Feel free to post comments.
Disclaimer: The above is not investment advice, is for information purposes only, may be subject to change without notice, and, while prepared with care, may be subject to omissions and errors.
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